基础设施 4.0 · 优秀 2026-09-07 · 文章

Jensen Huang 在没有定义的情况下宣布AGI 已经到来令人失望

Gary Marcus 9 月 7 日针对 Jensen HuangAGI 比赛已经结束的公开表态写了一篇短文,核心反驳有两层:一是 Astra 与 Fable 5.1 在多数基准上差距不明显,Artificial Analysis 把 Astra 排在 Fable 5.1 之后约 5 分;二是 ARC-AGI 3 的 99.9% 分数是用 OpenAI 自家 Provider Adapter harness 跑出来的,默认 harness 只到 62.7%,ARC 作者 Franois Chollet 本人明确说做对不等于 AGIMarcus 还引述他和 Brundage 的 10 项打赌,认为 Astra 至多命中自动形式化和可靠编码两项,其余八项都没到,结论是用没有定义的口号抢先给科学问题盖棺

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Jensen Huang 在没有定义的情况下宣布 「AGI 已经到来」

作者: Gary Marcus | 2026-09-07
URL: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/sad-to-see-jensen-huang-claim-that

Sad to see Jensen Huang claim that AGI has arrived, with no evidence and no definitions

作者: Gary Marcus
发布时间: 2026-09-06T22:43:18.134Z
原文链接: https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/sad-to-see-jensen-huang-claim-that

Sad to see Jensen Huang claim that AGI has arrived, with no evidence and no definitions

Declaring victory without a definition simply muddies the waters

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](https://substack.com/@garymarcus)

Gary Marcus

Sep 07, 2026

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A couple hours ago Jensen Huang declared that the race to AGI is over.

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Unfortunately, Huang gave no evidence and no definitions, which feels to me like an effort at a takeover of a scientific question by corporate fiat.

I would urge him to read agidefinition.AI by Hendrycks, Yoshua Bengio & many others (including myself), and to consider how Astra is doing on the kinds of examples I laid out in my 10 -item bet with Brundage. Autoformalization may finally be in reach, and maybe (?) reliable coding; I doubt that Astra will have hit any of the other eight.

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By conventional definitions, Astra still falls short.

Declaring victory without a definition simply muddies the waters.

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Aside from the lack of definitions, I would expect that if Astra really were AGI, it would be a quantum leap ahead of its competitors. Instead, many see it as not much more than on a par with Fable 5.1 in real-world applications:

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Peter Wildeford🇺🇸🚀@peterwildeford

My current view is that GPT 6 Astra is not meaningfully better than Fable 5.1 for my personal work, but that using both side-by-side is nonetheless very helpful and additive. I have been using GPT 6 Astra and Fable 5.1 a bunch over the past two days, largely for policy analysis,…

4:45 AM · Sep 7, 2026 · 4.08K Views

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6 Replies · 4 Reposts · 86 Likes

](https://x.com/peterwildeford/status/2096701237731135578?s=61)

And one well-respected set of benchmarks suggests that Astra is a genuine improvement but not significantly off-trend.

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When real AGI arrives, we won’t need to squint our eyes.

And we won’t need Jensen’s approval, either. The results, at that point, will speak for themselves.

_Update: One reader pointed to the ARC-AGI test as a criterion. Here’s what the inventor of ARC said about this:_

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François Chollet@fchollet

Many of you will ask, "if it saturates ARC 3, is it AGI?" We're not making this claim. All we know about the system so far are its benchmark scores. When we launched ARC 3, and in every presentation we made about it, we were very insistent on one thing: solving it is not proof …

3:48 AM · Sep 4, 2026 · 60.6K Views

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22 Replies · 28 Reposts · 540 Likes

](https://x.com/fchollet/status/2095599835932135919?s=61)

_Update two: Although Jensen congratulated OpenAI today, about six months he already declared victory, pre-Astra, with respect to an earlier model._

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](https://substack.com/profile/4286311-erik-speier)[

](https://substack.com/profile/1787661-jeffery-miller)[

](https://substack.com/profile/20813999-john)[

](https://substack.com/profile/16419253-canada-jay)[

](https://substack.com/profile/39085918-bala-subra)

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本次摘要依据

Marcus 引 ARC-AGI-3 默认 harness 53.8% 到 62.7%, Astra 高分来自 OpenAI Provider Adapter harness; Chollet 本人明确「做对不等于 AGI」。